Global Trade Research

Read our latest commentary and analysis on important trade topics, ranging from global trade system reform, trade agreements, tariffs and quotas, and US-China trade.

Our latest thought leadership articles

  • US-China Tech War and Semiconductors

    US-China Tech War and Semiconductors

    17 January 2020
    By Alex Capri

    The United States and China are in the early stages of a historic tech war or era of techno-nationalism. The intensifying nature of the tech war, combined with the scale and depth of China’s market—and the massive economic gains it provides to American and foreign semiconductor companies—creates a collision of vested interests that has sparked a flurry of protectionist policies in Washington and elsewhere. Our latest white paper by Alex Capri provides a timely and comprehensive analysis of the emerging US-China tech-war and the strategic importance of the semiconductor industry.

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  • Phase One Agreement Positive, But Unlikely to Reverse Fraying Ties

    Phase One Agreement Positive, But Unlikely to Reverse Fraying Ties

    16 January 2020
    By Stephen Olson

    The agreement is a positive step, but an extremely modest one, which will defer the most important — and difficult — issues to subsequent negotiations. Unless and until those more difficult issues (such as industrial policies and subsidies) are meaningfully addressed, the trade war might simmer down, but it will not be resolved. Looking forward, the immediate question is whether the more difficult Phase Two discussions will be earnestly engaged right away.

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  • Actual impact of US-China trade war limits benefits of Phase 1 deal

    Actual impact of US-China trade war limits benefits of Phase 1 deal

    13 January 2020
    By Stewart Paterson

    It is now a year and a half since the first salvo of tariffs was introduced in the China-US trade war in July 2018. The US has imposed tariffs on about USD 300bn of Chinese imports taking the weighted average tariff from about 3.1% prior to July 2018 to about 20% now. China’s weighted average tariff on US imports was already high by comparison at over 8% and has risen to about 20% now. With data through to October 2019, this paper assesses the impact the tariffs have had and seeks to cut through the hyperbole from both disparagers and supporters of the policy.

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Supported research

We encourage and assist reputable organizations and individuals to undertake research that advances sustainable global trade. Discover the latest research we have supported.

 

From TradeVistas

Created to help you understand trade, TradeVistas is our digital magazine that explains everything you need to know about the world of trade and how it all impacts you. Read the essentials and more in our latest.

U.S.-China FDI goes cold while venture capital heats up

U.S.-China FDI goes cold while venture capital heats up

23 August, 2019

With trade talks between the United States and China running hot and cold, it’s irresistible to get sucked into daily U.S.-China trade war updates with its unexpected tariff announcements. In the bigger picture, the underlying uncertainty caused by ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China is having a large impact, particularly on two-way foreign direct investment (FDI). 

 

Global Trade Research 1

India’s tariffs could dent gains from California’s bumper almond crop

8 August, 2019

California growers have reason to worry about access to India, one of their biggest export markets. The Indian government increased tariffs on U.S. shelled almonds by 20 percent and non-shelled almonds by 17 percent in June, which could shortchange the gains hoped for by California almond growers who are expecting a bumper harvest this year. 

 

Trade infographics

Download these helpful infographics to get a visual overview of key global trade topics and issues.

 

From our resource center

Visit our resource center to view the latest third-party research and data from reputed institutions.

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