Thought Leadership

Thought Leadership 241
Why stronger India-US trade is important for geopolitics
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow As China’s economic preeminence and its geopolitical ambitions are growing in Asia Pacific, Read more.
Thought Leadership 242
WTO Reform: Will China Be Part of the Problem or Part of the Solution?
Stephen Olson
Originally published in The Diplomat. Written by: Stephen Olson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow China recently convened a “mini-ministerial” meeting of Read more.
Thought Leadership 243
Will RCEP accelerate the Sinification of Asia or reinforce the rules-based trading system?
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow At the 3rd Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) summit held in Bangkok Read more.
Thought Leadership 244
Developing Country Status: South Korea shows why WTO rules need to evolve
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow On October 25, Finance Minister Hong Nam-Ki acknowledged that the South Korean Read more.
Thought Leadership 245
Trade tensions rise on dual use technologies, trade protectionism and geopolitical risk
Stephen Olson
Written by: Stephen Olson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow There has never been a time when trade policy was conducted entirely Read more.
Thought Leadership 246
Boeing-Airbus: The WTO needs remedies to deal with industrial policy
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow On October 2, 2019, the WTO ruled on the 15-year Boeing-Airbus dispute Read more.
Thought Leadership 247
How a WTO rules Brexit would impact the EU and UK
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow In 2016 the UK voted to leave the EU. The three years Read more.
Thought Leadership 248
Interim US-China ‘Phase 1’ Trade Deal Far From a Sure Thing
Stephen Olson
Written by: Stephen Olson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow The just-announced US-China interim trade agreement will forestall US tariff increases on Read more.
Thought Leadership 249
NAFTA Debate Signals Importance – and Challenges – of Sustainable Trade
Stephen Olson
Written by: Stephen Olson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow With the US Congress having returned from its summer recess, few issues Read more.
Shipping containers
Country trade imbalances are an existential threat to the global trading system
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow Persistent trade surpluses and deficits by major trading nations have contributed to Read more.
Trump and Macron at G7
Three Reasons a US-EU Trade Deal Makes Sense
Stephen Olson
Written by: Stephen Olson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow With the global trade system reeling, trade barriers on the rise, and Read more.
Thought Leadership 250
China: The Great Currency Manipulator?
Stewart Paterson
Written by: Stewart Paterson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow On 9th August 2019 the US Treasury officially labeled China a “Currency Read more.
The Japan-US “Mini-Deal” has Big Implications
The Japan-US “Mini-Deal” has Big Implications
Stephen Olson
Written by: Stephen Olson, Hinrich Foundation Research Fellow This article was originally published in The Diplomat. As the US and Read more.
Thought Leadership 251
US-China Trade War Moves to the Trenches
Kenneth Jarrett
Written by: Kenneth Jarrett, Senior Advisor, Albright Stonebridge Group (ASG) and former President of American Chamber of Commerce Shanghai When Presidents Trump and Read more.
A Quick Take on the Latest Round of US Tariffs
A Quick Take on the Latest Round of US Tariffs
Stephen Olson
Written by Stephen Olson Stephen Olson asks three questions in the aftermath of the surprise US tariff announcement. In the Read more.
France’s Digital Tariff – Disguised as a Tax – is Flawed
France’s Digital Tariff – Disguised as a Tax – is Flawed
Stephen Olson
Written by Stephen Olson France’s digital tax targets US tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Facebook, but will hurt consumers, Read more.
Why Hong Kong’s Autonomy is Important for Trade
Why Hong Kong’s Autonomy is Important for Trade
Holly Smith
Written by Holly Smith If Hong Kong’s autonomy comes under threat, how can and should the international community, particularly the Read more.
Thought Leadership 252
Is the Euro the Biggest Threat to the Global Trading System?
Stewart Paterson
The European Union (EU) is positioning itself as a champion of the multilateral trading system, yet the single European currency Read more.
Thought Leadership 253
Three China-US experts assess what happens next after Osaka
Hinrich Foundation
The Osaka G20 announcement that the US and China would resume trade talks led to an audible sigh of relief Read more.
Trump and Xi Hit the “Restart Button”: What's Next?
Trump and Xi Hit the “Restart Button”: What’s Next?
Stephen Olson
Originally published in South China Morning Post. With US and Chinese negotiators heading back to the negotiating table, Stephen Olson Read more.
Rare Earths: The Threat of Embargo and the Clash of Systems
Rare Earths: The Threat of Embargo and the Clash of Systems
Stewart Paterson
Would China’s rumoured embargo on rare earth exports be an effective weapon in the trade war? The divergent fortunes of Read more.
Automotive hit by tariffs
Automotive Tariff Decision Delayed but Not Defused
Stephen Olson
Originally published in the South China Morning Post. The imposition of automotive tariffs is still possible, and could spark a global Read more.
Trump Uses Tariffs to Force Immigration Changes
Quick Take: What if Trump Uses Tariffs to Force Immigration Changes?
Holly Smith
President Trump’s shocking May 30 threat to impose tariffs on all Mexican imports over its supposed inaction on illegal immigration Read more.
Unsustainable trade effect on European election
Quick Take: Has Unsustainable Trade Influenced European Elections?
Stewart Paterson
The results of the 2019 European Parliament elections illustrate the need for more sustainable trade that delivers a more equitable Read more.
Thought Leadership 254
Artificial Intelligence Primer: What is Needed to Maximize AI’s Economic, Social, and Trade Opportunities
Hinrich Foundation
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a set of processes that enable productivity improvement. According to recent estimates, AI could more than Read more.
Workers-in-protective-gears-working-in-a-steel-mill-1
Are Quotas Worse Than Tariffs?
Holly Smith
With all the focus on tariffs these days, it is easy to overlook the return of another protectionist tool: quotas. Read more.
Thought Leadership 255
Trade System Threatened by Erosion of Trust
Stephen Olson
Originally published in East Asia Forum. The global trade system is under greater stress than at any other time since Read more.
President of the US Donald Trump and President of China Xi Jinping
US-China Trade Impasse: A Quick Take
Stephen Olson
With Chinese Vice Premier Liu He scheduled to arrive in Washington late last week, hopes and expectations were rising that Read more.
Distribution center hit by tariffs
Blunt Force Tariffs Backfire on Business and Farmers
Stephen Olson
With President Trump threatening additional tariffs, the tit-for-tat tariffs already in place are complicating business decisions and causing long-term damage Read more.
Thought Leadership 256
Poor Enforcement and Low Utilization Undermine Benefits from Trade Agreements
Stephen Olson
Trade liberalizing agreements, whether they are pursued on a multilateral, regional, or bilateral basis, are seen as the principle means Read more.
Thought Leadership 257
Trade System Dysfunction Reflects Collective Failure
Stephen Olson
China has exercised its sovereign right to chart its own economic development path, opting for a system of state-directed capitalism and Read more.
Thought Leadership 258
Six China experts assess what NPC outcomes mean for global trade
Six trade experts
Just under 3,000 of the most powerful officials in China recently gathered in Beijing for the country’s biggest political meeting Read more.
Thought Leadership 259
The US-China Economic Relationship – A Comprehensive Approach
Hinrich Foundation
The U.S.-China economic relationship has reached a critical juncture. President Xi and Trump have agreed to resolve immediate trade disputes Read more.
Thought Leadership 260
China’s Trade Practices Spawn Tough Questions But No Easy Solutions
Stephen Olson
Originally published in The Diplomat. Three recent reports help illuminate the complexity of the problems currently facing the global trade Read more.
Thought Leadership 261
No Short-Term China Deal Can Address the Systemic Issues
Stewart Paterson
Originally published in The Hill. With the wind-down of the Beijing trade talks, we can anticipate a spate of potential announcements: Read more.
Thought Leadership 262
Trade Turmoil Likely to Continue into 2019
Stephen Olson
Only one month into 2019, and it has already become evident that the head-spinning pace of developments in international trade Read more.
Thought Leadership 263
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on International Trade
Hinrich Foundation
Brookings Institution’s “The impact of artificial intelligence on international trade” report provides an overview of key AI opportunities for trade as well Read more.
Thought Leadership 264
China’s WTO accession, the financial crisis and lessons for the future
Lauren Kyger
Western policymakers and multinational corporations encouraged China’s entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 as a way to Read more.
Thought Leadership 265
A Quick Take on US-China Trade Talks
Stephen Olson
The announcement that trade talks this week in Beijing between the US and China had been extended by a day Read more.
Thought Leadership 266
Assessing the Way Forward After Argentina
Stephen Olson
With the dust starting to settle after the meeting between President Trump and President Xi in Argentina, a few things Read more.
Thought Leadership 267
Trump-Xi Meeting: Five Potential Paths Forward for the US and China
Stephen Olson
The meeting between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping in Argentina in late November may prove to be a Read more.
Thought Leadership 268
Vietnam’s Winning Approach to Sustainable Trade
Stephen Olson
In order to be sustainable, trade cannot simply be about pursuing breakneck economic growth at the expense of social cohesion Read more.
Thought Leadership 269
Trade, People, and Money: Understanding China’s Unique Capabilities
Stephen Olson
Originally published in The American Prospect. The Trump administration is forcefully pressing its case on a variety of Chinese trade Read more.
Thought Leadership 270
California hit with double whammy in global trade war
Lauren Kyger
The US administration may be engaged in a trade war aimed at foreign trading partners, but for Californian manufacturers and Read more.
Thought Leadership 271
A Quick Take on the New NAFTA
Stephen Olson
The revised NAFTA agreement (now called the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement) is a combination of what could be characterized as common sense Read more.
Thought Leadership 272
How the Philippines can use sustainability to attract FDI
Lauren Kyger
The ongoing trade war between the United States and China gives Southeast Asian countries greater opportunities to attract more foreign Read more.
Thought Leadership 273
Time for Leadership in Trade – Not Victimhood
Stephen Olson
The turmoil in today’s global trade system – spawned by perceived unfair trade practices that have led to unilateral US Read more.
Thought Leadership 274
Don’t Just Blame Trump or China for this Trade War
Stephen Olson
Originally published in the South China Morning Post. Headline writers and Twitter lit up this week on news that the Read more.
Thought Leadership 275
Needed: A Rational Debate on the New US Trade Philosophy
Stephen Olson
The current US Administration has been accused of incoherence in its trade policy.  In reality, a very clear philosophy is Read more.
Thought Leadership 276
Understanding US Tariff Actions: What Do They Mean for the Global Trade System?
Stephen Olson
Originally published in the Diplomat The US Administration has announced yet another investigation which could result in tariffs – this Read more.
Thought Leadership 277
Trade Talks Leave Real Issue Untouched
Stephen Olson
Most of the headlines coming out of the recent round of negotiations between the US and China in WashingtonDC proclaimed Read more.
Thought Leadership 278
Trade Architecture Needs to Accommodate Both US and Chinese Systems
Stephen Olson
How should we interpret the two days of discussions in Beijing between US and Chinese trade officials? The US delegation Read more.
Thought Leadership 279
Trade: The Big Picture
Stephen Olson
Originally published by The American Prospect. In the wake of the announcement on steel and aluminum tariffs, and complaints against Read more.
Thought Leadership 280
The problem with U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum that no one is talking about
Stephen Olson
Originally published in Forbes. The preliminary U.S. decision to apply 25% tariffs on steel imports and 10% tariffs on aluminum Read more.
Thought Leadership 281
Samsung’s contribution to China through FDI
Michael Enright
Samsung has been one of the largest foreign investors in China and has built a China structure that rivals that Read more.
Thought Leadership 282
Export-led growth on the wane in East Asia
Stephen Olson
Originally published in The Diplomat. Export-led development strategies have played a central role in generating economic growth throughout the Asia-Pacific Read more.
Thought Leadership 283
P&G’s 30-year contribution to China through FDI
Michael Enright
Procter & Gamble’s (P&G’s) story in China shows how comprehensive a major company’s impact can be on a foreign host Read more.
Thought Leadership 284
Maersk’s contribution to China through FDI
Michael Enright
Maersk’s involvement in China stands out for its impact on improving connectivity within China through its logistics arm, and between Read more.
Thought Leadership 285
Hong Kong Pioneers’ contribution to China through FDI
Michael Enright
Hong Kong companies have been pioneers in many if not most aspects of China’s economic opening. Hong Kong companies have Read more.
Thought Leadership 286
Adding value to the Cambodian economy every 374.41 seconds
Lauren Kyger
Originally published in TradeVistas.  Foreign direct investment (FDI) is usually measured by the size of the capital investment and number Read more.
Thought Leadership 287
What has China meant to the bottom-line of US companies?
Stephen Olson and Lauren Kyger
Note: This article is drawn from a Hinrich Foundation White Paper entitled “A Profitable Partnership Under Stress: Why it makes Read more.
Thought Leadership 288
The Impact of U.S. Foreign investment and U.S. Companies on China’s Economy
Michael Enright
China’s economic reforms have created the world’s most dynamic economy. A major part of China’s economic development has involved foreign Read more.
Thought Leadership 289
R&D in China supporting US companies
Stephen Olson and Lauren Kyger
Note: This article is drawn from a Hinrich Foundation White Paper entitled “A Profitable Partnership Under Stress: Why it makes Read more.
Thought Leadership 290
China’s large market increasingly important for US companies
Stephen Olson and Lauren Kyger
Note: This article is drawn from a Hinrich Foundation White Paper entitled “A Profitable Partnership Under Stress: Why it makes Read more.
Thought Leadership 291
A Profitable Partnership Under Stress: Why it makes sense to ratchet-down US-China trade tensions
Stephen Olson and Lauren Kyger
This white paper is based on an extended research effort undertaken by the Hinrich Foundation, which included interviews with scores Read more.
Thought Leadership 292
Trade policy under the Trump administration
Stephen Olson
Originally published by the China Development Institute (CDI).  There are four main issues regarding trade policy and the Trump administration Read more.
Thought Leadership 293
Evaluating 100 days of Trump trade policy
Stephen Olson
Originally published in The Diplomat.  With the Trump presidency just past the 100 day mark, how should we interpret the Read more.
Thought Leadership 294
Renegotiating NAFTA doesn’t signal the start of a trade war
Stephen Olson
Originally published in the Globe and Mail. U.S. President Donald Trump has certainly used “colourful” rhetoric to outline his views Read more.
Thought Leadership 295
US-China watchers should keep their eye on semiconductors
Stephen Olson
An abbreviated version of this article was first published in East Asia Forum.   China’s ambitions for its semiconductor industry Read more.
Thought Leadership 296
The letter Donald Trump should write to Xi Jinping
Stephen Olson
It is not surprising that Chinese President Xi Jinping was one of the first foreign leaders that President-elect Trump spoke Read more.
Thought Leadership 297
Michael Jordan scores in China
Stephen Olson
Published in TradeVistas. Michael Jordan’s exploits on the basketball court were legendary, but the former hoops star seems to be Read more.
Thought Leadership 298
The death of TPP: What does it really mean?
Stephen Olson
Published in TradeVistas Any lingering hope for passage of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), at least in its current form, was Read more.
Thought Leadership 299
Trump and trade
Stephen Olson
As the world continues to digest the surprising election of Donald Trump, questions over the path forward in international trade Read more.
Thought Leadership 300
Attracting and managing FDI: What can we learn from China?
Stephen Olson
What do countries need to do in order to create a policy framework that is conducive to foreign direct investment? Read more.
Thought Leadership 301
From fishing village to global metropolis: FDI and the transformation of Shenzhen
Stephen Olson
Spend some time in the southern Chinese coastal city of Shenzhen, and you’ll find a cosmopolitan, wealthy and technologically advanced Read more.
Thought Leadership 302
To understand the full Impact of FDI, look past the headlines
Stephen Olson
Scan the pages of any business publication and you’ll find example after example of eye-popping foreign direct investments (FDI) taking Read more.
Thought Leadership 303
The case for sustainable trade
Stephen Olson
It is well understood that trade has been a remarkable engine of economic growth and development, lifting hundreds of millions Read more.
Thought Leadership 304
Straight talk on trade
Stephen Olson
Published in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.   Candidates competing for both the Republican and Democratic presidential nominations have been ratcheting Read more.
Thought Leadership 305
Support for free trade slipping in the U.S.
Stephen Olson
A recent Bloomberg Politics national poll in the United States shows a surprisingly strong tide of opposition to free trade. Read more.
Thought Leadership 306
Here’s why you should care about Rob Portman…
Stephen Olson
To any seasoned trade professional, a recent announcement from Washington DC came as both a surprise — and a cause Read more.
Thought Leadership 307
Are China and the EU on a collision course?
Stephen Olson
Published in East Asia Forum. The future of the EU–China trade relationship — one of the largest in the world Read more.
Thought Leadership 308
Foreign business committed to China, but concerns are growing
Stephen Olson
The American Chamber of Commerce in China recently issued its 2016 Business Climate Survey, and as usual, it has some Read more.
Thought Leadership 309
The TPP and the sputtering global trade system
Stephen Olson
Published in The Diplomat Can agreements like the Trans-Pacific Partnership fortify a troubled international trade system? With the death-knell of the Read more.
Thought Leadership 310
Time for the U.S. to join the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
Stephen Olson
Originally published in The Diplomat.  With the AIIB set to commence operations by year-end, U.S. President Barack Obama – and Read more.
Thought Leadership 311
The U.S. and China must avoid ‘competing camps’ mentality
Stephen Olson
Published in The China Post. As you listen to the unfolding discussion on the TransPacific Partnership, do not be surprised Read more.
Thought Leadership 312
Keeping China’s recent stumbles in perspective
Stephen Olson
Despite President Xi Jinping’s cheery pronouncements on China’s economic health during his recent U.S. visit, doubts remain. In fact, those Read more.
Thought Leadership 313
Hypocrisy mars RMB devaluation debate
Stephen Olson
Published in East Asia Forum.  The verdict on China’s recent currency devaluations differs depending on who you listen to. To some, Read more.
Thought Leadership 314
Inward FDI still mutually beneficial in China
Stephen Olson
Published in East Asia Forum.  More so than any other developing country, China has benefited profoundly from foreign direct investment Read more.